Post by Admin on Feb 12, 2023 9:46:57 GMT -5
I dedicated this thread to several trolls in several sites I have been participating. These trolls claimed that I don't have a clue, I will never retire, and I will never make it in retirement. The truth is I retired in 2018, in the next 5 years, 2018-2022, my system worked extremely well, I beat the SP500 with SD=2.5/2.6 by using mostly bonds and never losing more than 1% from any last top. You can see real screen shots at (fd1000.freeforums.net/post/41)
Norbert's claim "You may draw your own conclusions about why FD never posts his trades except with the benefit of hindsight and will never explain his "system" in detail."
FD answer: For years I posted my trades at threads I ran for years, especially long discussion about bond funds. I posted long analysis on M* and what I have done on time. I don't know anyone who posted more than me in such details. Poster dtconroe was very involved too. I explained my system along the way because I got many times private messages from posters. Several have been using my system. Anyone can see it's time consuming and very unrewarding. If I make 70-80% good trades, but lose very little on the rest, it's excellent. The trolls always want to spend a lot of time on the losing trades, just to make a point.
I got bored and tired, I started posting only every month what I owned. I held these funds for months with minimal changes, the trolls never let go. They demanded I must post every trade, and what %. No one else have to do that, but me.
But, the most revealing is the fact that I offered Norbert a couple of years ago, to do a private zoom call, and I would show him my live results. But, if I'm right, he will post he lied about me. As expected, he folded.
Real time meaningful trades, just for the record:
1) I posted in several sites that I sold most of my portfolio on 2/29/2020, and several day later the rest. See
* (community.morningstar.com/s/question/0D53o00005E8YIDCA3/sold-most-of-my-portfolio-to-cash)
* (www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/55299/bond-mutual-funds-analysis-act-2/p2) That was real time.
2) In early 2022, I started a thread posting why you should sell everything as I did, see (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/thread/1262/make-sense).
3) In 11/2023, I posted why you should go in as I did again, see (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/thread/1959/bond-future-musings?page=8).
4) I seldom post my trades in real-time but I did in 11/2023
In 11/1/2023 (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/thread/1959?page=8).
"Did you catch the buy T/A buy signal for several funds, and it wasn't the first day?
keep reading and see that I sold after 8 days on 11/9/2023 after ORNAX made 4%."
On the same date 11/1/2023 I posted about stocks (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/post/43353)
"Momo has looked good in the last several days. All = a buy before closing.
You can just play it simple: no diversification, no predictions, no narrow range funds, looks like tilting LC growth is here to stay which = SPY/VOO or you can gamble and use some QQQ."
On 11/4/2023 (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/post/43481)
"I changed 80% of my portfolio last week which I held for several months.
When will I sell? no idea, the chart and uptrend will tell me what to do."
The above trades and others are how I achieved excellent risk/reward.
A reminder: my system is based on big picture + technical analysis + others and can't be programmed.
============================================================
Has Norbert posted all his trades in real time? No. But wait, one time Norbert did. See (link).
On Jan 28, 2021: "I'm of the same sentiment; have now cut equities from over 50% to 30%, plus opened a hedge using SH yesterday."
Norbert doubled down by selling stocks + shorting stocks, that was a big flop. SPY made more than 28% from this date to the end of 2021.
A troll is a troll is a troll. Wait, I need to put the troll on ignore again.
Norbert's claim "You may draw your own conclusions about why FD never posts his trades except with the benefit of hindsight and will never explain his "system" in detail."
FD answer: For years I posted my trades at threads I ran for years, especially long discussion about bond funds. I posted long analysis on M* and what I have done on time. I don't know anyone who posted more than me in such details. Poster dtconroe was very involved too. I explained my system along the way because I got many times private messages from posters. Several have been using my system. Anyone can see it's time consuming and very unrewarding. If I make 70-80% good trades, but lose very little on the rest, it's excellent. The trolls always want to spend a lot of time on the losing trades, just to make a point.
I got bored and tired, I started posting only every month what I owned. I held these funds for months with minimal changes, the trolls never let go. They demanded I must post every trade, and what %. No one else have to do that, but me.
But, the most revealing is the fact that I offered Norbert a couple of years ago, to do a private zoom call, and I would show him my live results. But, if I'm right, he will post he lied about me. As expected, he folded.
Real time meaningful trades, just for the record:
1) I posted in several sites that I sold most of my portfolio on 2/29/2020, and several day later the rest. See
* (community.morningstar.com/s/question/0D53o00005E8YIDCA3/sold-most-of-my-portfolio-to-cash)
* (www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/55299/bond-mutual-funds-analysis-act-2/p2) That was real time.
2) In early 2022, I started a thread posting why you should sell everything as I did, see (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/thread/1262/make-sense).
3) In 11/2023, I posted why you should go in as I did again, see (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/thread/1959/bond-future-musings?page=8).
4) I seldom post my trades in real-time but I did in 11/2023
In 11/1/2023 (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/thread/1959?page=8).
"Did you catch the buy T/A buy signal for several funds, and it wasn't the first day?
keep reading and see that I sold after 8 days on 11/9/2023 after ORNAX made 4%."
On the same date 11/1/2023 I posted about stocks (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/post/43353)
"Momo has looked good in the last several days. All = a buy before closing.
You can just play it simple: no diversification, no predictions, no narrow range funds, looks like tilting LC growth is here to stay which = SPY/VOO or you can gamble and use some QQQ."
On 11/4/2023 (big-bang-investors.proboards.com/post/43481)
"I changed 80% of my portfolio last week which I held for several months.
When will I sell? no idea, the chart and uptrend will tell me what to do."
The above trades and others are how I achieved excellent risk/reward.
A reminder: my system is based on big picture + technical analysis + others and can't be programmed.
============================================================
Has Norbert posted all his trades in real time? No. But wait, one time Norbert did. See (link).
On Jan 28, 2021: "I'm of the same sentiment; have now cut equities from over 50% to 30%, plus opened a hedge using SH yesterday."
Norbert doubled down by selling stocks + shorting stocks, that was a big flop. SPY made more than 28% from this date to the end of 2021.
A troll is a troll is a troll. Wait, I need to put the troll on ignore again.